Varzim vs Lixa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FEL
3 - 2
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
0 - 4
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
RIB
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 0
VAR
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
JOA
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIX
2 - 2
FAM
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JOA
1 - 0
LIX
67%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LIX
1 - 0
VSC
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +6 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VIZ
2 - 0
LIX
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 2
LIX
76%
17%
8%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +1 |