Varzim vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
EST
3 - 3
VAR
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 2
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
VST
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 2
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
2 - 3
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
FEL
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FEL
0 - 1
FEI
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 3
FEL
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FEL
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |