Varzim vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 0
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VAR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ODI
1 - 2
FEL
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 16 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 0
SAL
27%
25%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
FEL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
FEL
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
FEL
0 - 0
MAI
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |