Varzim vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 3
PEN
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
VAR
3 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
FEL
0 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
GFC
2 - 0
FEL
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
FEL
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 1
FEL
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
FEL
2 - 2
PAÇ
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |