Varzim vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 1
ACV
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
FEI
4 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 1
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FAR
3 - 0
ESA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |