Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
1º
31
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
VAR
27%
27%
47%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
ADM
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
VIA
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 1
VAR
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 3
VAR
55%
26%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 0
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JOA
0 - 3
FAF
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FAF
3 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
FAF
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FAF
2 - 3
TRO
27%
27%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |