Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
4º
14
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 3
VAR
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
4 - 0
LUS
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 2
SCP
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 2
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
2 - 0
ATL
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
FAF
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
AMA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |