Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
3º
24
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
VAR
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 3
ANA
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
FAF
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAF
2 - 1
TRO
14%
24%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |