Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
TIR
78%
17%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 3
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAF
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAF
3 - 3
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 2
LEX
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ANA
3 - 0
FAF
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 0
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |