Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 2
VAR
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
COV
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
VST
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
VSC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FAF
2 - 1
GFC
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ACV
1 - 0
FAF
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 1
VIZ
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 1
FAF
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 3
COV
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |