Varzim vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 2
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MOR
3 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 3
GFC
24%
26%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PIN
3 - 0
FAF
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -9 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAF
93%
6%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
SAL
1 - 2
FAF
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
FAF
4 - 3
VIZ
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |