Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
LEX
3 - 1
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
VAR
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
EST
3 - 3
FEI
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SER
0 - 4
EST
8%
17%
76%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
LEX
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 2
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |