Varzim vs Estoril analysis

Varzim Estoril
61 ELO 68
-14.6% Tilt -9.6%
3375º General ELO ranking 460º
56º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
30.6%
Varzim
28.2%
Draw
41.2%
Estoril

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
Varzim
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41.2%
Win probability
Estoril
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
+14%
+6%
Estoril

ELO progression

Varzim
Estoril
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2020
LEX
Leixões
3 - 1
Varzim
VAR
39%
28%
33%
63 60 3 0
04 Oct. 2020
VAR
Varzim
0 - 1
Académica
ACA
44%
29%
27%
63 64 1 0
26 Sep. 2020
SPC
SC Covilha
2 - 1
Varzim
VAR
35%
29%
36%
64 60 4 -1
22 Sep. 2020
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Arouca
ARO
48%
27%
25%
64 61 3 0
18 Sep. 2020
CHA
Chaves
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
49%
27%
24%
65 68 3 -1

Matches

Estoril
Estoril
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2020
EST
Estoril
3 - 3
Feirense
FEI
47%
27%
27%
67 68 1 0
09 Oct. 2020
SER
Sertanense
0 - 4
Estoril
EST
8%
17%
76%
67 41 26 0
04 Oct. 2020
BEN
Benfica II
0 - 1
Estoril
EST
41%
25%
34%
66 60 6 +1
28 Sep. 2020
EST
Estoril
1 - 0
Leixões
LEX
62%
23%
16%
66 60 6 0
24 Sep. 2020
ACV
Academico Viseu
0 - 2
Estoril
EST
41%
27%
32%
66 64 2 0