Varzim vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FCM
2 - 2
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MAI
1 - 2
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAR
2 - 2
FEL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FEI
0 - 0
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
EST
4 - 1
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
EST
0 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
VST
2 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
EST
2 - 0
GFC
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |