Varzim vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
PEN
0 - 1
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
FCM
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAR
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
5 - 1
ACA
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
SCF
1 - 2
VAR
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 1
IMO
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 3
ESP
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVA
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |