Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESA
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
LEX
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAF
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |