Varzim vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
FAR
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPB
33%
30%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
SCP
1 - 1
VAR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
VAR
1 - 3
RIO
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
SAL
2 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
14%
23%
63%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
BOA
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIT
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |