Varzim vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAÇ
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
SPC
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LEX
0 - 1
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAF
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEL
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TON
0 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
OLI
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |