Varzim vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
79.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
VAR
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
AMA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
BOA
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |