Varzim vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
OVA
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
FEL
1 - 1
VAR
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VAR
3 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 1
RIO
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
AVE
4 - 4
SLB
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
SLB
1 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
GFC
3 - 0
SLB
21%
24%
56%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
SLB
0 - 2
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |