Varzim vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
1º
22
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAO
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
BOA
7%
14%
79%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
VAR
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 1
FAF
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 3
ESA
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
ANA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 2
TRO
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 0
RAB
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |