Varzim vs Anadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.3%
6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
5º
23
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
SLB
4%
15%
81%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 3
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ANA
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANA
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 2
FEL
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
ANA
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |