Varzim vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
VAR
46%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
INF
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
MIR
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
TIR
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
INF
3 - 4
AMA
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
FAF
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
AMA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
OSL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |