Varzim vs Academico Viseu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAM
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
EST
3 - 5
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Academico Viseu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ACV
1 - 0
ACA
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACV
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ACV
1 - 3
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
SPB
4 - 0
ACV
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
4 - 0
ACV
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |