Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNM
2 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 0
SCP
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACV
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 2
COV
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
29%
29%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 0
REA
65%
23%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |