Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAM
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 2
EST
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
FCP
4 - 3
VAR
86%
11%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 1
ACA
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
BOA
6 - 0
ACA
75%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |