Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |