Varzim U15 vs Vitória Guimarães U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
84.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
8º
6º
46
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 2
VRZ
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADB
1 - 3
VRZ
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VRZ
0 - 2
BRA
5%
10%
86%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
3 - 1
VRZ
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VRZ
3 - 3
FAM
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIT
9 - 0
ADB
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 1
VIT
60%
19%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 2
RIO
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 2
VIT
6%
11%
84%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
9 - 0
GFC
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |