Varzim U15 vs Penafiel U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
4º
5º
7
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VRZ
1 - 3
GFC
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
VRZ
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VRZ
1 - 2
ADC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
6 - 1
VRZ
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VRZ
4 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
PEN
29%
21%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 7
BOA
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
POR
7 - 1
PEN
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
AVC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VBF
1 - 0
PEN
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |