Varzim U19 vs Trofense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
4º
2º
21
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
CDB
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
VAR
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GON
1 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BOA
3 - 1
VAR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 2
TRF
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TRF
2 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TRF
1 - 0
CHA
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TRF
3 - 1
ARC
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | +1 |