Varzim U19 vs Merelinense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
4º
2º
26
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
VAR
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 1
OSL
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
VAR
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 0
AMA
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
MER
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
MIR
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
MER
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |