Varzim U19 vs Amarante U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
4º
2º
21
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAR
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRF
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
CDB
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
VAR
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GON
1 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRF
0 - 0
AMA
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 4
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
AMA
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AMA
5 - 3
FRE
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
AMA
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |