Varzi vs Vistarino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
LOM
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
VAR
16%
19%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
CIS
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
VAR
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
CER
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vistarino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 0
BIA
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
VIS
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 2
LOM
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 1
VIS
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 2
CIS
42%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |