Varzi vs Robbio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 3
VAR
8%
16%
76%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BIA
2 - 5
VAR
10%
17%
74%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Robbio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ROB
2 - 4
ABB
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 2
ROB
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VER
4 - 3
ROB
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ROB
1 - 1
TOR
15%
20%
66%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 0
NOR
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |