Varzi vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CER
6 - 2
VAR
37%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
TOR
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 1
ABB
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIS
0 - 1
VAR
17%
20%
62%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
VER
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 2
ABB
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIS
3 - 0
CON
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
VER
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 3
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
NOR
88%
8%
3%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |