Värmdö vs Assyriska IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Värmdö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
GUT
0 - 4
VAR
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 1
BKK
63%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
NYK
2 - 0
VAR
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASI
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SME
2 - 0
VAR
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Assyriska IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 4
ESK
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FOF
3 - 0
ASS
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
KON
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASS
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ENS
4 - 0
ASS
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |