Varese U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 2
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
LAT
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
VAR
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 4
JUV
17%
20%
62%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
7 - 0
TRA
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 2
SPE
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAS
3 - 0
SPE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 6
FIO
17%
21%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |