Varese U19 vs Padova U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
UDI
0 - 0
VAR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
ABL
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 2
VAR
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Padova U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 2
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CAG
1 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 3
ATA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 2
BRE
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 2
PAD
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |