Varese U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 4
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 3
FIO
5%
13%
82%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 1
PRO
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 5
PAR
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
MOD
79%
15%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAR
13%
20%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 5
SPE
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
TOR
9%
19%
71%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
MOD
76%
17%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |