Varese U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CIT
0 - 1
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 3
SAS
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
CES
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CES
3 - 0
CHI
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 3
CES
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CES
2 - 1
SAS
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |