Varese U19 vs Carpi U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
GEN
30%
26%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
28%
25%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRA
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carpi U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
TOR
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRA
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
FIO
7%
13%
79%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |