CD Varea vs Racing Rioja analysis


34	ELO	34
6.9%	Tilt	0.8%
6373º	General ELO ranking	41010º
260º	Country ELO ranking	9993º
ELO win probability

49.5%

CD Varea

21.7%

Draw

28.8%

Racing Rioja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

49.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

6.7%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

21.7%

28.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

61

4º

13º

5º

39

1º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

13º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	76	76	1º	0%
2º	76	76	2º	0%
3º	67	67	3º	100%
4º	65	65	4º	100%
5º	61	61	5º	100%
6º	55	58	6º	100%
7º	55	55	7º	100%
8º	47	47	8º	100%
9º	46	46	9º	100%
10º	42	42	10º	0%
11º	42	42	11º	0%
12º	39	39	12º	100%
13º	39	39	13º	100%
14º	33	33	14º	100%
15º	31	31	15º	100%
16º	30	30	16º	100%
17º	24	24	17º	100%
18º	17	17	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champion	0%	0%
Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Promotion play-offs	100%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Varea

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Oct. 2023	CDF 0 - 1 VAR 35% 23% 42%	33	30	3	0
01 Oct. 2023	HAR 0 - 3 VAR 19% 21% 60%	31	22	9	+2
24 Sep. 2023	VAR 0 - 2 ALF 35% 22% 42%	33	39	6	-2
17 Sep. 2023	ANG 2 - 1 VAR 30% 22% 48%	35	28	7	-2
10 Sep. 2023	VAR 2 - 0 ARN 56% 20% 24%	34	31	3	+1

Matches

Racing Rioja

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
08 Oct. 2023	RRI 0 - 0 HAR 79% 14% 7%	34	21	13
30 Sep. 2023	ALF 1 - 0 RRI 56% 22% 23%	34	39	5
24 Sep. 2023	RRI 2 - 1 ANG 59% 21% 20%	34	29	5
17 Sep. 2023	ARN 1 - 1 RRI 33% 23% 44%	34	30	4
10 Sep. 2023	RRI 4 - 0 ALB 66% 19% 16%	34	26	8