CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
VAR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGO
2 - 2
VAR
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
CDF
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AUT
0 - 0
VAR
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 1
TED
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
VAR
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
CDF
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
NAX
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 1
CDF
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |