CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
6 - 0
YAG
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
0 - 5
VAR
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIV
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 3
VAR
11%
17%
72%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
6 - 0
CDF
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDF
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CDF
1 - 4
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
YAG
3 - 2
CDF
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDF
3 - 3
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |