CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
VAR
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 0
AGO
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NAX
2 - 5
VAR
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
VAR
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CDF
3 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
OYO
36%
27%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 2
AGO
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NAX
3 - 2
CDF
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |