CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
PRA
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 2
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
SDA
4 - 1
VAR
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
CIU
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BER
0 - 3
VAR
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CLH
5 - 1
CDF
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 1
HAR
11%
18%
72%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SMC
1 - 1
CDF
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CDF
2 - 1
AGO
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
CDF
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |