CD Varea vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SMC
0 - 2
VAR
8%
16%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
ALF
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 4
HAR
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
AGO
1 - 4
VAR
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
ARN
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 3
HAR
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGO
0 - 0
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 1
ARN
26%
25%
49%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDF
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 0
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |