Varea U19 vs UD Logroñés U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
10º
56
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 73% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
VAR
41%
22%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 3
VAR
11%
17%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 3
VAR
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 1
PRA
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
UD Logroñés U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 1
VAL
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
UDL
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDL
6 - 1
PRA
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLU
5 - 2
UDL
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDL
3 - 1
OYO
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |