Varea U19 vs EF Mareo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+107%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
10º
35
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 2
VAR
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 3
CLU
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
UDL
5 - 2
VAR
59%
19%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 0
SMC
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 2
VAR
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
EF Mareo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
VAL
25%
25%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CDE
6 - 0
TED
46%
24%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COM
1 - 3
CDE
62%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 2
BER
8%
17%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
6 - 1
CDE
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |