Varde vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AAF
2 - 1
VAR
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 2
MID
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
RIS
2 - 1
VAR
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 1
THI
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TJO
0 - 1
VAR
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SKI
0 - 2
AGF
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
AGF
4 - 1
FYN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AGF
3 - 0
VEN
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NAE
0 - 0
AGF
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AGF
3 - 2
KBK
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |