Varde IF Elite vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ESB
1 - 0
VAR
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
KOL
21%
19%
59%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
3 - 1
VAR
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OFA
3 - 2
VAR
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
B19
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
0 - 1
KOL
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OFA
5 - 2
AAR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AAR
1 - 2
SON
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ESB
1 - 4
AAR
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |